Türkiye 1-4 Italy — result, stats and how we called it

Türkiye 1-4 Italy, UEFA Nations League, Monday 28 September. Italy won. Before kick-off we published 35% Türkiye, 27% the draw and 38% Italy. That number was frozen when it went up and has not been edited since. The full result, the numbers we published and how they scored are free to read, with no sign-up.

Match probabilities

Türkiye win
35% · 13/8
Draw
27% · 5/2
Italy win
38% · 6/4
Both teams to score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Likeliest scoreline
1-2

The bookmakers' prices with the margin removed — our model does not rate national teams. published before kick-off and scored afterwards on our results page.

Statteo — tips that show their working

18+ · Patterns, not tips · begambleaware.org